noaa forecasts less active atlantic hurricane season due to el nino, cooler water temperatures - air and water swamp cooler

by:HICOOL     2019-07-23
noaa forecasts less active atlantic hurricane season due to el nino, cooler water temperatures  -  air and water swamp cooler
According to a new forecast from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, conditions in the oceans and atmosphere are likely to produce a less active Atlantic hurricane season this year.
NOAA released the latest forecast on Thursday, which is different from the agency's recent forecast, indicating that the normal level is slightly higher-
Normal activity during Hurricane Atlantic formation.
The following possibilities-
The normal Atlantic hurricane season is now 60%, up from 25%.
A close chance
The normal season dropped from 40 to 30%, up from
According to NOAA, the normal season has dropped from 35% to 10%.
Season forecasters at NOAA took several factors into account when updating the outlook.
Now there is a 70% chance that El Nino, with warming in the equatorial Pacific increasing the wind cut in the Atlantic and Caribbean, will be formed in the second half of this year's hurricane season.
In addition, sea surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean Sea are still much lower than average.
According to NOAA, in areas where storms normally develop, a combination of cool temperatures, stronger wind scissors, dry air and increased stability will further dampen the hurricane.
But as the season moves into peak months from the middle, forecasters urge caution
From August to October.
"There are more storms coming --
The hurricane season is far from over.
We urge continued preparation and vigilance, "said Gerry Bell, seasonal hurricane forecasters at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
The Atlantic hurricane season lasted from June 1 to November.
30, NOAA predicts a total of 9 to 13 named storms (
39 miles/hour or higher wind)
Four to seven of them will be hurricanes (
74 miles/hour or higher wind)
Including two major hurricanes (
Wind at 111 mph or higher).
So far, there have been four named storms this season, including two hurricanes. An average six-
According to NOAA, the hurricane season produced 12 named storms, six of which became hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
"Today's updated outlook reminds us that we are entering the peak of the hurricane season and everyone needs to know their true vulnerability to storms and storm surges," said Brock Long ,", director of Federal emergency services
"It's time to know who issued evacuation orders in their community, pay attention to warnings, update your insurance, and make a preparation plan.
Don't relax your guard, the late season storm is always possible and always keeps your plans updated.
"Morgan winsol of ABC News contributed to the report.
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